What will happen in the year 2024

By many measures, the United States has bounced back from the Great Recession, yet the country doesn't seem to have totally regained its confidence. Against this uncertain background, what do Americans anticipate about the next 10 years?

America Looks to 2024: The Atlantic/Aspen Institute Survey marks the 10th anniversary of the Aspen Ideas Festival by asking about impressions of the nation in 2024. The poll finds Americans in a pessimistic mood, worried that U.S. is on the wrong track and unsure about the future. Respondents expect a nation more divided by class and race. They also expect America's standing in the world to diminish, as China and Russia gain in stature. But the results aren't uniform: The poll finds that white Americans have a bleaker view of the future than their black and Latino counterparts, who are more likely to see opportunity today and ahead. Nor is the pessimism absolute. Even as many Americans seem to despair for the nation's future, they're optimistic about their own health, wealth, and well-being over the next decade.

Elsewhere on the site, Mark Penn and Don Baer analyze the poll, which was conducted by Penn Schoen Berland in partnership with global public-relations and strategic-communications firm Burson-Marsteller. The full results are here. Below, a brief summary in charts:

Americans are evenly split about whether the country will be on the right track in 10 years.


What will happen in the year 2024


That's about the same number who thought the country was on the right path in last year's survey:


What will happen in the year 2024


Americans expect that we will be more divided than we are now and look back on fractious 2004 with rose-colored glasses. 


What will happen in the year 2024


Americans expect the country will still be wrestling with many of the same essential issues it does today.


What will happen in the year 2024


They think it will be tough to send their kids to college ...


What will happen in the year 2024


... or for those kids to find work. 


What will happen in the year 2024


Yet most parents still think their children will better off than they were at the same age: 


What will happen in the year 2024


Large majorities (far more than currently support either cause in public-opinion polls) believe same-sex marriage and marijuana will be legal in most states by 2024.


What will happen in the year 2024


In the next 10 years, Americans overwhelmingly expect the wealth gap to grow:  


What will happen in the year 2024


... and they expect a political scene even more dominated by money.


What will happen in the year 2024


The dark mood isn't just about what's happening at home. Americans seem skeptical about the nation's future as a superpower.


What will happen in the year 2024


They see China eclipsing the U.S., with Russia ascendant.


What will happen in the year 2024


But these views aren't monolithic, and they get muddier when you break the statistics down. For example, men are much more optimistic than women about the economy. 


What will happen in the year 2024


Democrats feel much better about economic prospects in 10 years, while Republicans prefer the 2004 economy. 


What will happen in the year 2024


Overall, the survey shows white America is nervous about its prospects and senses it is falling behind. Minorities, meanwhile, maintain a faith in the American dream. Blacks and Hispanics are more likely to think the country is headed in the right direction now ...


What will happen in the year 2024


... and they're more likely to have high hopes for the next decade than their white counterparts.


What will happen in the year 2024


A stunning 40 percent of Hispanic Americans expect to own their own businesses, versus just 11 percent of whites. (For comparison, around 12 percent of Americans are currently entrepreneurs.)


What will happen in the year 2024


Only a quarter of whites feel positively about opportunity and chances to get ahead with hard work. 


What will happen in the year 2024


A stunning 44 percent of Americans, a plurality, think Spanish will overtake English as the most widely spoken language by 2024.


What will happen in the year 2024


How about outside the policy realm? The numbers show a surprising optimism. Most Americans say they weighed less a decade ago and they'll be more svelte by 2024. 


What will happen in the year 2024


Perhaps equally unlikely, more than half say they'll attend religious services more in 10 years.


What will happen in the year 2024


In some ways, people expect to be pretty old-fashioned. Only a quarter intend to cut the cord on their TV ...


What will happen in the year 2024


... but they're planning to jettison print—except for books:


What will happen in the year 2024


And although they see the tech industry as the providing the nation's most prominent leaders ... 


What will happen in the year 2024


They're not exactly bullish on the impact of social media on their lives.


What will happen in the year 2024


What things will happen in 2026?

June –July – The 2026 FIFA World Cup is scheduled to be held in The United States, Canada, and Mexico. July 4 – The 250th anniversary of the United States Declaration of Independence. August 10 – Lunar perigee happens. August 12 – A solar eclipse is predicted.

Will there be a 2028?

From just five in 2020, it has quadrupled to nearly 20 by 2028 – but will not reach a majority until the 2050s. ... Community..

What will happen in 2028?

August 15 – August 27 – The 2028 Summer Paralympics will be held in Los Angeles, California, US. October 26 – Asteroid (35396) 1997 XF11 will pass 930,000 km (0.0062 AU) from the Earth. November 7 – The 2028 United States presidential election will be held.

What is predicted to happen in 2034?

Science related predictions due to make an impact in 2034 include: Public transit goes bust while planes, trains go driverless: Future of Transportation P3. Peak cheap oil triggers renewable era: Future of Energy P2. China, rise of a new global hegemon: Geopolitics of Climate Change.